2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson

Staff Writer

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Circuit of the Americas Sunday for the 2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the 2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix: What you need to know

23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick is the defending champ, snapping the early dominance of Chevrolet in the first 2 Cup races in Austin
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott won the inaugural Cup race at this track in May 2021, with Trackhouse Racing's Ross Chastain picking up checkers in March 2022
Elliott has made 2 Cup starts at the track, finishing with a win and a 4th-place finish, while leading 5 laps
Chastain is close on Elliott's heels with a dominant 3.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 3 Cup starts, finishing 1st in 2022, sandwiched by a pair of 4th-place runs in 2021 and 2023
Reddick leads all active drivers with 43 laps led in 3 Cup races, followed by Chastain (35) and Hendrick's William Byron (28)
Byron has posted a 9.3 AFP in 3 Cup races at COTA, finishing 5th, 11th and 12th
23XI Racing's Bubba Wallace has had a nightmare 3 runs in Austin over the years, finishing 37th, 38th and 39th, with all 3 starts resulting in DNFs
Trackhouse Racing's Daniel Suarez also hasn't fared well in 3 Cup starts at COTA, posting a 28.0 AFP with finishes of 24th, 27th and 33rd despite a 7.3 Average-Start Position and 16 laps led

2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:42 a.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1200) has been dominant in his 2 Cup starts at COTA. He missed last season's run due to injury. The most popular driver in the sport is in dire need of a victory, as he is winless since Oct. 2, 2022 at Talladega.

Elliott was completely blanked in 2023, and so far in 2024 he has managed just a single top-10 in 5 starts. That top-10 finish came last week at Bristol, and the 5 laps he led at the Coliseum were his first since he ticked off 13 laps in front at the Daytona 500. Perhaps he'll carry over his momentum from Bristol into this weekend's race at a track he has fared well, albeit a brief sample size.

2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix – Contender

ROSS CHASTAIN (+1400) has a little bit longer odds, but we've seen him do extremely well in 3 Cup races at COTA since the venue became part of the official schedule in 2021.

Chastain has 3 top-5 finishes, including the 2022 victory, and he has never finished lower than 4th. If you're a little more on the conservative side, you can get CHASTAIN TOP-10 FINISH (-130), or you can still double up by taking CHASTAIN TOP-5 FINISH (+180). Again, he has finished 4th or better in all 3 Cup starts at the track, so both props are quite attractive.

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2024 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix prop picks

MATCHBET - ROSS CHASTAIN Over Daniel Suarez (-190)

It's a little on the pricey side, but Chastain is a good bet to finish higher than Suarez at COTA.

Chastain, the watermelon farmer, has never finished lower than 4th in 3 Cup runs in Austin, while Suarez has finishes of 24th, 27th and 33rd for that ugly 28.0 AFP in his 3-race history at the track.

Suarez has had the hot hand this season, already punching his ticket to the playoffs with a victory in Atlanta. But Chastain is the play here, and it likely won't be close.

KAMUI KOBAYASHI TOP-10 FINISH (+250)

It's a little on the far-fetched side, but it's worth a roll of the dice at plus-money for the chance to more than double up.

Former F1 driver Kobayashi makes his 2nd-career Cup, driving for 23XI Racing. There was a report Denny Hamlin stated Kobayashi was faster than 23XI driver and Cup regular Reddick in the COTA simulator, for whatever that's worth. He'll be behind the wheel of the No. 50 Toyota on Sunday. Kobayashi has raced at the Circuit of the Americas before, albeit in a completely different machine. But he knows the track, and he is worth a roll of the dice at this price point.

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